Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.861435 0.969038 1.086312 1.223848 1.381021 1.555368 1.763880
2025-01-26 0.702128 0.849285 1.023079 1.244482 1.520457 1.854958 2.293886
2025-02-02 0.616982 0.782829 0.989408 1.267642 1.635636 2.109893 2.774189
2025-02-09 0.551087 0.726637 0.954929 1.276722 1.723681 2.329986 3.227434
2025-02-16 0.499165 0.680076 0.924161 1.281985 1.800613 2.536502 3.680446
2025-02-23 0.463018 0.649614 0.909852 1.305178 1.900906 2.781971 4.215475
2025-03-02 0.417079 0.599970 0.862364 1.273361 1.913946 2.896258 4.559958
2025-03-09 0.393331 0.579762 0.854745 1.298641 2.014003 3.151288 5.156806
2025-03-16 0.363306 0.547101 0.824899 1.285488 2.050212 3.306020 5.602980
2025-03-23 0.342802 0.527018 0.812115 1.297279 2.126668 3.532866 6.199938
2025-03-30 0.318167 0.498241 0.782876 1.278703 2.148938 3.667765 6.645556
2025-04-06 0.298178 0.475246 0.760859 1.269722 2.185914 3.830718 7.162045
2025-04-13 0.271001 0.438808 0.714451 1.215629 2.139079 3.840066 7.389348
2025-04-20 0.259654 0.428035 0.710399 1.235841 2.230009 4.116328 8.190786
2025-04-27 0.249786 0.418916 0.708239 1.258849 2.327837 4.415736 9.081766
2025-05-04 0.238532 0.406473 0.699125 1.267856 2.399029 4.669539 9.910222
2025-05-11 0.227658 0.393865 0.688641 1.273079 2.462777 4.914518 10.753850
2025-05-18 0.220144 0.386738 0.687511 1.296093 2.564628 5.250460 11.857915
2025-05-25 0.205919 0.366289 0.660075 1.264521 2.549254 5.330915 12.361167
2025-06-01 0.200010 0.360935 0.660736 1.289607 2.656948 5.695926 13.624018
2025-06-08 0.189886 0.346899 0.643653 1.276555 2.679861 5.870217 14.426397
2025-06-15 0.183361 0.339333 0.638627 1.288255 2.758885 6.184022 15.646113
2025-06-22 0.173950 0.325537 0.620262 1.269822 2.767208 6.329273 16.430050